Both countries deny that the arrest of Canada's ex-consul in China by Beijing is linked to that of Huawei's financial director, Meng Wanzhou, in Vancouver. But the chronology shows that after the imprisonment of ex-diplomat Michael Kovrig, Canada accepted to release the Chinese citizen on bail.
With the skill of the ancient oriental martial arts, which allows a practitioner to knock out more than one opponent in a single blow, China, voluntarily, or involuntarily -according to his assertions and Ottawa's assent that the cases they have no relation-, has put Canada between a rock and a hard place, and the US to have to deal with its neighbor for the next almost two months and see what they do with the businesswoman and future heiress of the Huawei empire detained in Vancouver.
Meng was arrested at the request of the US - the same day that Donald Trump and Xi Jinping buried the hatchet in Buenos Aires, at least for a time - on the pretext of circumventing the sanctions against Iran. What 'sings' here, is that the mockery of sanctions against Tehran by other companies in other countries, Washington had settled with a simple fine, and never with an arrest as in this case, which leaves the naked geopolitical background in this situation.
The truce in the commercial war to which the US pledged was nothing more than an action on the part of Trump , explains the president of the Hispano-Russian Observatory of Eurasia, Fernando Moragón.
He believes that in Washington "they have already realized that China is a rising global power and that if they do not try something, they will inevitably be the next hegemonic world power. [...] With which they have understood that they have to go for China and to strangle -at least partially- their economy so that they can not reach them from the technological point of view ".
The equation, which in the US was easy, as well as playing and collecting, took a turn that was probably not what was expected, unless Canada was willing in advance to sacrifice some pawns during the game, and now is playing a role of Oscar.
The truth is that after the arrest of Meng, China promised hell to Canada . "Serious consequences," they said, if Ottawa did not release ipso facto. "China insists that Canada release the arrested executive, guarantee the observation of her legitimate rights and interests, otherwise this will have serious consequences, and Canada will have to assume full responsibility," read a statement from the Asian giant's Foreign Ministry.
Immediately after this warning, the Asian giant canceled negotiations with timber producers in British Columbia. And almost at the same time it was learned of Beijing's arrest of the Canadian ex - Consul in China . Consulted the authorities of both countries on a possible link between the arrests as a whole, deny any relationship.
Incredibly, and with almost no room for respite between one thing and another, a judge in Canada granted Meng probation after posting bail of 10 million Canadian dollars, about 7.5 million US dollars.
In this regard, Moragón explains that China was pushed to take forceful measures because otherwise, this would have given rise to the United States to grow and put more types of sanctions [against China] or do things similar to what they did with the financial director of Huawei. He points out that the arrest of the former Canadian diplomat was a way of saying that "they are willing to confront each other and that the US is not going to get away with it, at least, without great costs, and those allies, like Canada, that follow him, also prepare for the same. "
And in a pronouncement that came and sounded untimely, after the waters were already completely upset and that China had put the rope around the neck of Canada, Trump goes and makes a statement that sounded many, at least, suspicious. He said he would intervene in Meng's case if it would serve the interests of US national security, or help close a trade agreement with Beijing. Everything was more than clear.
Moragón affirms that these words of Trump give evidence of the political background of the arrest of Meng. "In this situation, the loser is Canada, not the US It's like the issue of sanctions against Russia, the loser has not been the US, it's been Europe, and this is going to happen to Canada. to see forced to follow the policy of the USA, paying the consequences, as is usual ", concludes Fernando Moragón.